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I appreciate and welcome the analysis of @MickWest. I've felt that for a long time, and won't dismiss his analysis here. But what is missing (and anyone, correct me if I am wrong) is something I've pointed out a few times today, and it needs repeating and expanding.

We don't know the context of the videos and their official determination of identity, if any. It is no surprise visuals, either some, or all, are determined to be aircraft. The documents themselves already said that, and it was already determined by the Air Force commercial airliners were misidentified in SOME of the sightings. We don't know if the visuals, given the assumption Mick is right and they are all planes, are what they are referring to and that's why they were released, because, they are just planes. All we know is they were released in a batch of records for a case relating to the "drone" sightings - but that doesn't necessarily mean the USAF tagged them as "drones." We just simply don't know, at this point.

However, what is missing from the analysis below is the following:

1) We don't know if WPAFB/USAF considers the videos they released "drones" or "commercial aircraft". I aim to find that out, however, and it may take FOIA to do it. A case was filed with AFOSI which is believed to have done a more thorough analysis. Results of that will be published when in.

2) 100% of the visuals, based on the metadata, are from December 16 - but the air space was shut down on December 13 - indicating December 13 was likely much more specific activity that prompted the shutdown while December 16 had no shut down noted on the documents. No visuals were released from that night, so it's unclear what activity prompted the shut down (other than the descriptions of what happened in the documents), but clearly, WPAFB felt it was warranted so they did, but decided not to on the 16th.

3) Matching up the videos, with the exception of one, they don't match the timeline of December 16th as released in the records. The highlighted portion below is the window when the videos were taken, however, outside that window and even within it, it is clear a lot more happened, and we can't be certain no additional visuals exist, or even if they don't, what the witnesses saw. The one that did match was IMG_9511.mov, which admittedly does look like a plane more than most. But the timeline match said "/Police-2 relayed to BDOC of an unknown aircraft descending towards the flightline on Area A. The aircraft appeared to make it approximately 500ft from landing before ascending again and disappearing." That doesn't match the video in the slightest, and if Mick is correct (and I understand his analysis video), the plane was 5000ft or so high. That's a far cry from 500ft - so would a security officer at WPAFB make such a mistake?

Could all the testimony be wrong and this is all planes? Could the personnel at WPAFB hear those misidentifications and all sign off on closing the airspace of such a large base? Of course that's a possibility. But what is the likelihood that WPAFB, with their clear capabilities to monitor their own airspace, shut down because of misidentified planes? And to add to that, what are the odds not only that happens, but the FAA can't identify any authorized aircraft in the area, and state such in the records?

That coincidence times two is incredibly unlikely. I have no skin in this game where I want this to be drones, or not. To be honest, I hope they are all planes. I view national security as an incredibly important issue. But with that said, that's why I think we should note the above, and understand that there are a lot of missing pieces of the puzzle here, and we need to keep pushing for answers. To dismiss this as all a bunch of USAF trained personnel that made a boat load of misidentifications over the course of multiple nights is probably a mistake.

But, this story is far from over, and I welcome more analysis by Mick, and comments from the general public, to try and unravel it. That, and I'll keep pushing for more records.

Thanks for reading! Long, but I feel important.